The continuing influx of migrants coming to Western shores from the Middle East and Sub Saharan Africa will change the face of Europe within three decades, warns Francis Journot , consultant and entrepreneur.
The key is to help them at home by helping to industrialize and modernize, not pay for their welfare here.
The population of sub-Saharan Africa is expected to double by 2050. It is therefore urgent that it develop, with the help of international companies, its own industry, even if this goes against the climate objectives, estimates Francis Journot. He directs the Europe Africa production regionalization plan or Africa Atlantic Axis program and does research in economics within the framework of the International Convention for a Global Minimum Wage project.
If Africa fails to industrialize and modernize, we will see an increase in situations of extreme poverty, malnutrition and subsequently chaos across the continent. Several hundred million Africans among a population which should number 2.5 billion inhabitants in 2050, will then wish to come to Europe to flee hunger and death.
The democracies which protect Europeans from war and disorder will not be able to survive this upheaval. The collapse of Western civilization in the more or less distant future is often mentioned. It could now happen in less than 3 decades.
Whether we think that the origin of climate change is mainly anthropogenic or not, the subject of the economic development of sub-Saharan Africa to avoid chaos, appears more urgent than that of climate.
We must break with a condescending and humanitarianist discourse held by NGOs and institutions, according to which Africans can only find economic salvation by migrating to a West which would be responsible for all their care.
European populations could also, when the migratory tsunamis have got the better of social protection systems, their culture and their civilization, regret having given in to dogmatism. So it seems risky to advocate, in the name of a principle of climate precaution, an ideological policy that will surely sacrifice a large part of humanity. Perhaps tomorrow we will have to face the gaze of new generations who will judge our mistakes. Let us hope that the international institutions take the measure of their responsibility and the possible consequences of their dangerous policy.